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Yep, it is THAT time of year again. Time for the Hollywood elite and their addiction therapists to step out from the shadows and into a primetime telecast!
Like last year's Oscars, there are again 10 nominees for Best Picture. But this year the Academy is using a variation of "preferential voting" to determine winners. That means the most number one rankings do not a winner make. In fact, the winning picture could, mathematically, be ranked as low as sixth on a majority of ballots and still come away a winner. I am sure that puts a lot of faith in the Academy!
Anywho, here is a list of nominees for each category followed by who SHOULD win and who is LIKELY to win. Because of the preferential voting, it is beyond impossible to say who will win, just who is most likely.
Oh, and I will also be live blogging the Oscars beginning anywhere from 4 to 7 (when the show starts), depending on my setup. So, here it goes:
BEST PICTURE
"127 Hours"
"Black Swan"
"The Fighter"
"Inception"
"The Kids Are All Right"
"The King's Speech"
"The Social Network"
"Toy Story 3"
"True Grit"
"Winter's Bone"
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: The King's Speech
BEST ACTOR
Javier Bardem, "Biutiful"
Jeff Bridges, "True Grit"
Jesse Eisenberg, "The Social Network"
Colin Firth, "The King's Speech"
James Franco, "127 Hours"
SHOULD WIN: Jesse Eisenberg
LIKELY TO WIN: Colin Firth
BEST ACTRESS
Annette Bening, "The Kids Are All Right"
Nicole Kidman, "Rabbit Hole"
Jennifer Lawrence, "Winter's Bone"
Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Michelle Williams, "Blue Valentine"
SHOULD WIN: Jennifer Lawrence
LIKELY TO WIN: Natalie Portman
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
John Hawkes, "Winter's Bone"
Jeremy Renner, "The Town"
Mark Ruffalo, "The Kids Are All Right"
Geoffrey Rush, "The King's Speech"
SHOULD WIN: John Hawkes
LIKELY TO WIN: Christian Bale
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, "The Fighter"
Helena Bonham Carter, "The King's Speech"
Melissa Leo, "The Fighter"
Hailee Steinfeld, "True Grit"
Jacki Weaver, "Animal Kingdom"
SHOULD WIN: Jacki Weaver
LIKELY TO WIN: Melissa Leo
BEST DIRECTOR
Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, "True Grit"
David Fincher, "The Social Network"
Tom Hooper, "The King's Speech"
David O. Russell, "The Fighter"
SHOULD WIN: David Fincher
LIKELY TO WIN: David Fincher
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
"Another Year," Mike Leigh
"The Fighter," Paul Attanasio, Lewis Colich, Eric Johnson, Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy
"Inception," Christopher Nolan
"The Kids Are All Right," Stuart Blumberg, Lisa Cholodenko
"The King's Speech," David Speidler
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: The King's Speech
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
"127 Hours," Simon Beaufoy, Danny Boyle
"The Social Network," Aaron Sorkin
"Toy Story 3," Michael Arndt
"True Grit," Ethan Coen, Joel Coen
"Winter's Bone," Debra Granik, Anne Rosellini
SHOULD WIN: Winter's Bone
LIKELY TO WIN: The Social Network
BEST ART DIRECTION
"Alice in Wonderland," Robert Stromberg; Karen O’Hara, Peter Young
"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I," Stuart Craig; Stephanie McMillan
"Inception," Guy Dyas; Lisa Chugg, Paul Healy, Douglas A. Mowat
"The King’s Speech," Eve Stewart; Judy Farr
"True Grit," Jess Gonchor; Nancy Haigh
SHOULD WIN: Alice in Wonderland
LIKELY TO WIN: The King's Speech
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHER
"Black Swan," Matthew Libatique
"Inception," Wally Pfister
"The King’s Speech," Danny Cohen
"The Social Network," Jeff Cronenweth
"True Grit," Roger Deakins
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: True Grit
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
"Alice in Wonderland," Colleen Atwood
"I Am Love," Antonella Cannarozzi
"The King’s Speech," Jenny Beaven
"The Tempest," Sandy Powell
"True Grit," Mary Zophres
SHOULD WIN: Alice in Wonderland
LIKELY TO WIN: The King's Speech
BEST EDITING
"127 Hours," Jon Harris
"Black Swan," Andrew Weisblum
"The Fighter," Pamela Martin
"The King’s Speech," Tariq Anwar
"The Social Network," Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall
SHOULD WIN: Black Swan
LIKELY TO WIN: The Social Network
BEST MAKEUP
"Barney’s Version"
"The Way Back"
"The Wolfman"
SHOULD WIN: The Wolfman
LIKELY TO WIN: The Wolfman
BEST SCORE
"127 Hours," A.R. Rahman
"Inception," Hans Zimmer
"The Social Network," Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
"The King’s Speech," Alexandre Desplat
"How to Train Your Dragon," John Powell
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: The Social Network
BEST SONG
"If I Rise" from "127 Hours"
"Coming Home" from "Country Strong"
"I See the Light" from "Tangled"
"We Belong Together" from "Toy Story 3″
SHOULD WIN: "If I Rise" (127 Hours)
LIKELY TO WIN: "We Belong Together" (Toy Story 3)
BEST SOUND
"Inception"
"The King's Speech"
"Salt"
"The Social Network"
"True Grit"
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: Inception
BEST SOUND EDITING
"Inception"
"Toy Story 3"
"TRON Legacy"
"True Grit"
"Unstoppable"
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: Inception
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
"Alice in Wonderland"
"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I"
"Hereafter"
"Inception"
"Iron Man 2"
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: Inception
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
"Biutiful" (Mexico)
"Dogtooth" (Greece)
"In a Better World" (Denmark)
"Incendies" (Canada)
"Outside the Law" (Algeria)
SHOULD WIN: In a Better World
LIKELY TO WIN: In a Better World
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
"How to Train Your Dragon"
"The Illusionist"
"Toy Story 3"
SHOULD WIN: Toy Story 3
LIKELY TO WIN: Toy Story 3
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
"Day & Night"
"The Gruffalo",
"Let’s Pollute"
"The Lost Thing"
"Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)"
SHOULD WIN: The Lost Thing
LIKELY TO WIN: Madagascar...
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
"Exit through the Gift Shop"
"Inside Job"
"Gasland"
"Waste Land"
"Restrepo"
SHOULD WIN: Exit through the Gift Shop
LIKELY TO WIN: Inside Job
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
"Killing in the Name"
"Poster Girl"
"Strangers No More"
"Sun Come Up"
"The Warriors of Qiugang"
SHOULD WIN: Killing in the Name
LIKELY TO WIN: Strangers No More
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
"The Confession"
"The Crush"
"God of Love"
"Na Wewe"
"Wish 143"
SHOULD WIN: Wish 143
LIKELY TO WIN: God's of Love
Like last year's Oscars, there are again 10 nominees for Best Picture. But this year the Academy is using a variation of "preferential voting" to determine winners. That means the most number one rankings do not a winner make. In fact, the winning picture could, mathematically, be ranked as low as sixth on a majority of ballots and still come away a winner. I am sure that puts a lot of faith in the Academy!
Anywho, here is a list of nominees for each category followed by who SHOULD win and who is LIKELY to win. Because of the preferential voting, it is beyond impossible to say who will win, just who is most likely.
Oh, and I will also be live blogging the Oscars beginning anywhere from 4 to 7 (when the show starts), depending on my setup. So, here it goes:
BEST PICTURE
"127 Hours"
"Black Swan"
"The Fighter"
"Inception"
"The Kids Are All Right"
"The King's Speech"
"The Social Network"
"Toy Story 3"
"True Grit"
"Winter's Bone"
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: The King's Speech
BEST ACTOR
Javier Bardem, "Biutiful"
Jeff Bridges, "True Grit"
Jesse Eisenberg, "The Social Network"
Colin Firth, "The King's Speech"
James Franco, "127 Hours"
SHOULD WIN: Jesse Eisenberg
LIKELY TO WIN: Colin Firth
BEST ACTRESS
Annette Bening, "The Kids Are All Right"
Nicole Kidman, "Rabbit Hole"
Jennifer Lawrence, "Winter's Bone"
Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Michelle Williams, "Blue Valentine"
SHOULD WIN: Jennifer Lawrence
LIKELY TO WIN: Natalie Portman
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
John Hawkes, "Winter's Bone"
Jeremy Renner, "The Town"
Mark Ruffalo, "The Kids Are All Right"
Geoffrey Rush, "The King's Speech"
SHOULD WIN: John Hawkes
LIKELY TO WIN: Christian Bale
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Amy Adams, "The Fighter"
Helena Bonham Carter, "The King's Speech"
Melissa Leo, "The Fighter"
Hailee Steinfeld, "True Grit"
Jacki Weaver, "Animal Kingdom"
SHOULD WIN: Jacki Weaver
LIKELY TO WIN: Melissa Leo
BEST DIRECTOR
Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"
Ethan Coen, Joel Coen, "True Grit"
David Fincher, "The Social Network"
Tom Hooper, "The King's Speech"
David O. Russell, "The Fighter"
SHOULD WIN: David Fincher
LIKELY TO WIN: David Fincher
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
"Another Year," Mike Leigh
"The Fighter," Paul Attanasio, Lewis Colich, Eric Johnson, Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy
"Inception," Christopher Nolan
"The Kids Are All Right," Stuart Blumberg, Lisa Cholodenko
"The King's Speech," David Speidler
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: The King's Speech
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
"127 Hours," Simon Beaufoy, Danny Boyle
"The Social Network," Aaron Sorkin
"Toy Story 3," Michael Arndt
"True Grit," Ethan Coen, Joel Coen
"Winter's Bone," Debra Granik, Anne Rosellini
SHOULD WIN: Winter's Bone
LIKELY TO WIN: The Social Network
BEST ART DIRECTION
"Alice in Wonderland," Robert Stromberg; Karen O’Hara, Peter Young
"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I," Stuart Craig; Stephanie McMillan
"Inception," Guy Dyas; Lisa Chugg, Paul Healy, Douglas A. Mowat
"The King’s Speech," Eve Stewart; Judy Farr
"True Grit," Jess Gonchor; Nancy Haigh
SHOULD WIN: Alice in Wonderland
LIKELY TO WIN: The King's Speech
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHER
"Black Swan," Matthew Libatique
"Inception," Wally Pfister
"The King’s Speech," Danny Cohen
"The Social Network," Jeff Cronenweth
"True Grit," Roger Deakins
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: True Grit
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
"Alice in Wonderland," Colleen Atwood
"I Am Love," Antonella Cannarozzi
"The King’s Speech," Jenny Beaven
"The Tempest," Sandy Powell
"True Grit," Mary Zophres
SHOULD WIN: Alice in Wonderland
LIKELY TO WIN: The King's Speech
BEST EDITING
"127 Hours," Jon Harris
"Black Swan," Andrew Weisblum
"The Fighter," Pamela Martin
"The King’s Speech," Tariq Anwar
"The Social Network," Kirk Baxter, Angus Wall
SHOULD WIN: Black Swan
LIKELY TO WIN: The Social Network
BEST MAKEUP
"Barney’s Version"
"The Way Back"
"The Wolfman"
SHOULD WIN: The Wolfman
LIKELY TO WIN: The Wolfman
BEST SCORE
"127 Hours," A.R. Rahman
"Inception," Hans Zimmer
"The Social Network," Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
"The King’s Speech," Alexandre Desplat
"How to Train Your Dragon," John Powell
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: The Social Network
BEST SONG
"If I Rise" from "127 Hours"
"Coming Home" from "Country Strong"
"I See the Light" from "Tangled"
"We Belong Together" from "Toy Story 3″
SHOULD WIN: "If I Rise" (127 Hours)
LIKELY TO WIN: "We Belong Together" (Toy Story 3)
BEST SOUND
"Inception"
"The King's Speech"
"Salt"
"The Social Network"
"True Grit"
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: Inception
BEST SOUND EDITING
"Inception"
"Toy Story 3"
"TRON Legacy"
"True Grit"
"Unstoppable"
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: Inception
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
"Alice in Wonderland"
"Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part I"
"Hereafter"
"Inception"
"Iron Man 2"
SHOULD WIN: Inception
LIKELY TO WIN: Inception
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
"Biutiful" (Mexico)
"Dogtooth" (Greece)
"In a Better World" (Denmark)
"Incendies" (Canada)
"Outside the Law" (Algeria)
SHOULD WIN: In a Better World
LIKELY TO WIN: In a Better World
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
"How to Train Your Dragon"
"The Illusionist"
"Toy Story 3"
SHOULD WIN: Toy Story 3
LIKELY TO WIN: Toy Story 3
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
"Day & Night"
"The Gruffalo",
"Let’s Pollute"
"The Lost Thing"
"Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)"
SHOULD WIN: The Lost Thing
LIKELY TO WIN: Madagascar...
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
"Exit through the Gift Shop"
"Inside Job"
"Gasland"
"Waste Land"
"Restrepo"
SHOULD WIN: Exit through the Gift Shop
LIKELY TO WIN: Inside Job
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
"Killing in the Name"
"Poster Girl"
"Strangers No More"
"Sun Come Up"
"The Warriors of Qiugang"
SHOULD WIN: Killing in the Name
LIKELY TO WIN: Strangers No More
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
"The Confession"
"The Crush"
"God of Love"
"Na Wewe"
"Wish 143"
SHOULD WIN: Wish 143
LIKELY TO WIN: God's of Love
